2024 NFL playoff picture AFC NFC seed projections chances
We re looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX
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We're through Week 1 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and while the postseason is still months away, we're taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.
Which teams are already in good shape at this point? Which ones still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Sept. 13 at 8:25 a.m. ET
Jump to a conference:
AFC | NFC
Projecting the AFC playoff field
After a close win over the Ravens on the opening night of the NFL season, the Chiefs currently have the league's highest percentage chance to make the playoffs at 91%. Baltimore, despite the win, has the best chance to make the playoffs among 0-1 teams at 60% (eighth-highest overall and fourth-highest in the conference).
But what happened to the Bengals? They entered the season with the fifth-best chance to make the postseason at 66%. After their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, they now rank 10th (and sixth in the AFC) at 45%. Joe Burrow and his Cincinnati team have some work to do.
On Thursday night, the Bills helped their cause by beating the Dolphins on the road. They are now at 78% to make the playoffs (fifth-highest overall and second-best in the AFC), while Miami fell to 54% (ninth overall and fifth in the conference).
New England entered the season with the NFL's lowest odds to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI (6%). Now? The Pats are up to 16% -- 28th overall and 14th in the AFC.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
After their win against the Jets on Monday night, the 49ers now have a 84% chance to make the playoffs -- which is tops in the NFC. Detroit rose from 70% to 79% with a Sunday night win over the Rams, and the Eagles sit at 83% after beating the Packers.
The NFC South could be a division to watch. The Falcons came into Week 1 with a 60% chance to make the playoffs and a 34% chance to win the division. Those numbers are now 39% and 24%, respectively, after Pittsburgh stymied the Kirk Cousins-led offense. Meanwhile, the Saints and Buccaneers are both over 50% to make the playoffs after big Week 1 wins.
Things don't look great for the Panthers and Giants. Both teams are below 6% to make the playoffs after just one game. Bryce Young and Daniel Jones combined for zero touchdown throws, four interceptions and nine sacks in their Week 1 outings.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round
Jan. 18-19: Divisional round
Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)
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In the first meeting against the Hornets, Jalen Duren exited early with an \nankle injury and the Pistons lost on an offensive putback at the","The Echo Show 8 drops to a record low of $80 in this Amazon Black Friday \ndeal? Black Friday has arrived, which means Amazon's smart displays are back on \nsale and significantly discounted.","Amazon Echo Show 8 - Now $70 Discount!? Great news for smart home enthusiasts! The Amazon Echo Show 8 is now \navailable with a $70 discount on Amazon.","In this edition: November 21, 2024? The Licking News is a great way to keep in touch with the Licking \ncommunity. Great weekly columns, area-wide menus, sports schedules, city,","Leading British actors call on chancellor to boost green investment in \npensions? Oscar winners Mark Rylance and Olivia Colman among those writing to Rachel \nReeves about excluding fossil fuels.","UK Aims for Global Leadership in Sustainable Finance and Growth? Photo Credit: Canva. Posted Wednesday, November 20, 2024 1:00 pm. Staff \nWriter. The UK government has launched an ambitious plan to position itself \nas a","Caroline Snow Column | Greening your pension? There is one big item that affects our carbon emissions but often gets \noverlooked, and that is our pensions.","From COP29 to Mansion House, has the UK reclaimed climate leadership?? A wave of recent domestic and international announcements signal serious \nintent from the new government to make the UK a clean energy","UK sustainable finance reforms: key takeaways for businesses? Companies should prepare for mandatory transition planning and look out for \ntailored emissions reporting after the UK Chancellor set out","ICAS: Mansion House sustainable finance reforms should go further? ICAS has said Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Mansion House reforms, which \ninclude a consultation next year on UK Sustainability Reporting","Equity members call on Chancellor to unlock green investment as Equity \nPension Scheme acts on climate change? Equity is moving its \u00a3130m pension into a sustainable fund that has \nextensive fossil fuel exclusions and is aligned with the UN's","Actors Urge Chancellor to Strengthen Green Investment in Pension Funds? Chancellor Rachel Reeves is preparing to make her mark with a bold Mansion \nHouse speech, unveiling sweeping reforms designed to accelerate","Actors call on chancellor to 'unlock green investment' in Mansion House \nspeech? A group of actors has urged chancellor Rachel Reeves to \u201cunlock green \ninvestment\u201d from pensions and to make \u201csmart, strategic reforms\u201d in","Leading actors call for green investment in Mansion House pension reforms? Leading actors have written to the Chancellor calling for her to unlock \ngreen investment as part of the widespread pension reforms,","Bomb cyclone: What is the weather phenomenon slamming B.C. and U.S.?? A bomb cyclone is a large, intense mid-latitude storm with low pressure at \nits centre, weather fronts and an array of associated weather,","A bomb cyclone on the West Coast and winter storms in the Midwest are \nforecast as Americans gear up for Thanksgiving travel? With millions of people preparing to travel for the Thanksgiving holiday, \ntwo strong storm systems are forecast to bring high winds,","Severe weather threatening parts of the U.S.? From coast to coast, the U.S. is bracing for potentially dangerous weather. \nBrian Abel looks at the threats in New York and well beyond.","Thanksgiving Weather Travel Forecast: Here's An Early Look At Where Rain, \nSnow Could Interrupt Plans? Tens of millions will travel during the holiday period, and weather could \ninterrupt plans for some. Here's a look at the forecast.","New York Weather Warning This Coming Weekend - Winter Season Arrives and \nNWS Issues Warning? While New York City grapples along with an extended drought, triggering a \nsurge in brush fires across the region, a starkly contrasting","A blast of snow and cold heads to the eastern U.S. after a mild start to \nfall? A multifaceted storm will bring snow, rain, wind and chilly temperatures to \nthe Northeast and Great Lakes.","Storms to bring rain, colder air and mountain snow across parts of the US? A series of storms is set to move across the US this week, and some of them \ncould help bring much needed relief to areas experiencing","Winter storms set to blast millions with rain, snow ahead of early \nThanksgiving travel? Powerful storm systems sweeping across the U.S. this week have the \npotential to pack a punch with snow, rain and strong winds expected to","Winter storm to bring first widespread cold snap ahead of Thanksgiving week \ntravel? Whether rain or snow, the inclement weather at the start of the weekend \nacross the Northeast does have the potential to snarl air and road","Rain and snow fronts expected before and during Thanksgiving week, \nforecasters say? Fronts moving from west to east will produce rain and snow in much of the \ncountry, the only exception for now being the Southwest.","Manx state pension reform report gets Tynwald backing? A report which considers options to preserve the Isle of Man's National \nInsurance Fund for the \"pensioners of today and tomorrow\" has been","Call to invest state pension fund in projects like proposed onshore windfarm? A former government Minister is calling for the National Insurance Fund to \nbe invested in capital projects including the proposed Earystane","Tynwald receives report on National Insurance fund? Issue 'can no longer be ignored' says treasury minister. Is it time to \nstart making some 'difficult decisions' to ensure the Island's","Treasury proposing reforms to state pension in Tynwald? \"This issue can no longer be ignored\" says minister. The Isle of Man \nTreasury is proposing potential reforms to the state pension to address","Perspective 17.11.24 - it\u2019s time to take about pensions, the NI Fund and \ntheir future sustainability.? It's November Tynwald next week and probably the most important item is \nwhat changes are need to ensure the National Insurance Fund - and","'Time to start making difficult decisions' over future of NI fund? Treasury minister will present Tynwald members with options this month.","Juice WLRD Fortnite live concert: Free skin, item shop bundle, NPC location \nand more? The Juice WLRD x Fortnite collaboration is set to be the biggest of Chapter \n2: Remix, with a live event, skin, Item Shop bundle and more on","Fortnite downtime & servers update: 32.11 update & Juice WRLD skin? Fortnite remix chapter 2 is about to end soon and now fans are gearing up \nfor the most anticipated 32.11 update. But till that time,","Fortnite Adding Unreleased Juice WRLD Song During Remix? Juice WRLD, despite his tragic passing, is playing a big role in the \ncurrent season of Fortnite. After years of leaks and teases, the late","Fortnite down - When servers are back online after update 32.11 maintenance? The final update of the limited time Fortnite Remix season is available to \ndownload now.","Downtime for Fortnite V32.11 Update - Juice WRLD & Kicks? Fortnite has been getting packed full of new mechanics and shocking \ncrossovers over the last few weeks. Remix brought players way back to","When is the next Fortnite update? Early patch notes for the update \nheralding Juice WRLD's arrival? Another update is expected to hit Fortnite before the end of Fortnite Remix \nChapter 2, and it'll finally bring Juice WRLD and his new POI to","Fortnite downtime today (November 21, 2024): When will servers be back up?? The Fortnite downtime today (November 21, 2024) is scheduled to begin at 4 \nAM ET, with matchmaking being disabled at 3:30 AM ET, with the","Fortnite 32.11 early patch notes: Juice WRLD Chug Cannon, Kit\u2019s Mythics & \nmore? Fortnite's 32.11 update is coming soon, bringing a host of exciting new \ncontent, including Juice WRLD, his Chug Cannon Mythic, and the","Everything we know about Fortnite 32.11? There's a lot of anticipation for Fortnite 32.11, especially with Chapter 2 \nRemix close to ending soon. 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PHILADELPHIA \u2013 La Salle women's basketball goes to 2-3 overall this season \nafter a come from behind victory against the Rider Broncs 55-54.","Rider Broncs Battle La Salle Explorers in Key NCAA Matchup? The Rider Broncs women's basketball team (1-2) is set to face the La Salle \nExplorers (1-3) on Wednesday, November 20, 2024, at 6:30 PM in","Women\u2019s Basketball Back at Glaser to Face Rider? PHILADELPHIA \u2013 La Salle women's basketball is set to take on the Rider \nBroncs Wednesday night at 6:30 PM at John Glaser Arena.","Late Free Throws from Connor Lift Women\u2019s Basketball Past Rider? La Salle women's basketball secured a thrilling 55-54 comeback victory over \nRider, improving their record to 2-3.","Women\u2019s Basketball: La Salle Battles Rider at Glaser Arena? La Salle women's basketball will face Rider on Wednesday, Nov. 19, at John \nGlaser Arena. The Explorers aim to improve their record of 1-3"]
Pistons, Jalen Duren look to rebound in rematch with Hornets? In the first meeting against the Hornets, Jalen Duren exited early with an
ankle injury and the Pistons lost on an offensive putback at the
Leading British actors call on chancellor to boost green investment in
pensions? Oscar winners Mark Rylance and Olivia Colman among those writing to Rachel
Reeves about excluding fossil fuels.UK sustainable finance reforms: key takeaways for businesses? Companies should prepare for mandatory transition planning and look out for
tailored emissions reporting after the UK Chancellor set out
Actors call on chancellor to 'unlock green investment' in Mansion House
speech? A group of actors has urged chancellor Rachel Reeves to “unlock green
investment” from pensions and to make “smart, strategic reforms” in
Severe weather threatening parts of the U.S.? From coast to coast, the U.S. is bracing for potentially dangerous weather.
Brian Abel looks at the threats in New York and well beyond.Storms to bring rain, colder air and mountain snow across parts of the US? A series of storms is set to move across the US this week, and some of them
could help bring much needed relief to areas experiencing
Manx state pension reform report gets Tynwald backing? A report which considers options to preserve the Isle of Man's National
Insurance Fund for the "pensioners of today and tomorrow" has been
Perspective 17.11.24 - it’s time to take about pensions, the NI Fund and
their future sustainability.? It's November Tynwald next week and probably the most important item is
what changes are need to ensure the National Insurance Fund - andFortnite Adding Unreleased Juice WRLD Song During Remix? Juice WRLD, despite his tragic passing, is playing a big role in the
current season of Fortnite. After years of leaks and teases, the late
Fortnite downtime today (November 21, 2024): When will servers be back up?? The Fortnite downtime today (November 21, 2024) is scheduled to begin at 4
AM ET, with matchmaking being disabled at 3:30 AM ET, with the
Agency’s internal data shows increasing rental supply at last? October saw the highest level of new stock entering the rental market, with
an 8% increase from last year. This is the highest increase inRider Broncs Battle La Salle Explorers in Key NCAA Matchup? The Rider Broncs women's basketball team (1-2) is set to face the La Salle
Explorers (1-3) on Wednesday, November 20, 2024, at 6:30 PM in